China and India are destined to wear the clothes for them unpublished, of the major empires of the century to come, regardless of the relative strengths they are able to establish between them before with the declining empires (USA) and re-emerging (Russia) in the company of which will go to redraw the geopolitical world, irreversibly destined for multipolarity. The superficial and pragmatic tendency of typical Anglo-Saxon, also regularly imported from this part of the Atlantic, throwing both countries in a single equiparante cauldron, from which springs a single geopolitical conglomerate known as the "Chindia", betrays a clumsy and blatantly ideological Occidentalism that has nothing to do with the rigorous analysis of concrete in practice. In fact, despite the close geographical proximity and the many similarities that emerge from the comparison of their respective, ancient history, China and India are two very different countries, whose interests in the long-term follow parallel lines at the moment but sooner or later destined to converge, or to a point or meeting, which could trigger a positive synergy for both, or confrontation, which would result in an apocalyptic confrontation with the results unpredictable. Projecting the data recorded on the near future, in terms of trends in recent years can be predicted that within two decades the world markets will face a question Sino - Indian electricity, oil and gas more than doubled, a sign evidence of a commonality of needs that refers to a mirror identity of objectives, goals However, India aims to achieve in ways very different from what we wanted instead of China. Not without reason, China has in fact been associated with hardware, because of its strong tendency to plan the development with a pragmatic approach and quiet, free from any ideological system, and faithful to the guidance given at the time by Deng Xiao Ping, the second which "must hide its claws as it becomes a great power." Beijing has moved wisely in recent years, looking in all directions, weaving a myriad of diplomatic plots regardless of the skeletons in the closet, real or imaginary, its strategic partners. In doing so, has managed to acquire sources of supply abroad and to enter into negotiations for the construction of gas and oil pipelines for the transport. This is a highly structured and centralized empire, which carries out a forced march towards economic growth directly related to the depletion of the infinite manpower available to it. In opposition to this centralized model, structured development, ranks India, instead turn to the software, by virtue of his concept of growth closely linked to the specific identity of a company formed by a galaxy of religions, ethnicities, social groups profoundly different from each other, but living in a strange, symbiotic harmony. India is a third world country with the atomic bomb, who inherited language and method (and structures) for teaching science from the old British Empire, which with a population exceeding one billion people produces plenty of engineers and computer scientists (and others) quality in industrial quantities ( Bangalore has long been the main information center of the planet). India's success is due precisely to this unusual mix of ingredients such as scientific knowledge, research, English, low production costs, demographics. However, the expertise that India has chosen to highlight are used almost entirely in the service sector or in services, which alone are not enough to absorb the oceans labor-poor who inevitably will come from the countryside, which happens regularly where growth is caused so sudden. In this respect, the Chinese giant, with its industrialization, has managed to integrate into production processes a slice (proportionally) greater labor force. But India is endowed with a social and political complex and balanced than that of China, has best welfare and social security services, has a growing population (unlike the Chinese, saturated, which is getting old) and very bright prospects before him. At the same time, India is highly decentralized, it has 28 states with large in-house autonomy and a veritable galaxy of ethnic and religious minorities. The French analyst of Indian origin as Carpentier De Gourdon it comes to divide India into four geopolitical regions, each oriented to political and ethnic reasons, to a specific geopolitical area outside. While this "open" sets the regions in question, and then India, in a position to deepen relations with the neighbors on the other hand it feeds the separatist drive, as in Kashmir and Jammu. On the other hand, India is founded on a democracy that can smooth out even more effectively with the major imbalances that inevitably accompanies its massive economic growth, and his choice of taking money away from investment to target it with measures to protect the welfare state must be viewed in this light. China's economic growth began with the reforms by Deng Xiaoping in 1978 has raised the standard of living of many millions of Chinese but has also caused deep imbalances in income between different parts of the country. In order to avoid future social polarization, the Communist Party is watching with growing interest in the Indian model in order to hook the irrepressible growth of technological progress (search) and make it less dependent on pure exploitation of workers. China remains the second largest economy in the world, which holds the main straight and gold reserves, among other companies, a giant hydrocarbon as the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC). The fact of being in public ownership allows companies such as CNPC, to be very competitive markets (especially the Anglo-Saxon competitors) by virtue of the fact that the negotiating table as a priority by putting the best interest of the country, allowing them to place themselves in position to overshadow the immediate interest to offer better deals to producer countries (Enrico Mattei revised and corrected). And they are not only relations to be treated and managed oil in this way, China has successfully demonstrated to interpret business with this spirit of "do ut des" in Sudan, where he helped to modernize roads, railways and infrastructure oil, or Angola, where the commercial co-operation has led to the construction of certain hospitals. China also holds a large share of U.S. public debt, which currently does not seem willing to collect, partly because they do not have the interest (the balance would be expected to condemn the U.S. to bankruptcy, which would lead to further cracking of relations and closure for Chinese goods to the U.S. market as a succulent), partly because it does not have enough strength to openly challenge Washington. For their part the U.S. are having to contain the momentum of China, and have begun to do so, as usual, to build on old grievances Sino - Indian dating back to 1962 (when a dispute degenerated into open warfare) to foment discord between the two (divide and rule) and encourage India to conclude a series of defensive military agreements with Singapore, Vietnam and Japan, forming a sort of encirclement around China, which in turn, has responded by intensifying relations with Pakistan and installing a giant naval base in Myanmar. The real problem for the U.S. is that their historic powers of persuasion and dissuasion is dissolving in parallel with the decline of unipolarity that has seen them in command for two decades. All kinds of distinctly non-military pressure is weakening day by day. Hence, Bush's decision to modernize and strengthen the strategic arsenal American. Will help anything? At the time, you can only note that the study of tactical maneuvers between India and China did not reveal a dormant but mutual distrust will be difficult to affect the progressive relaxation of relations welcome shift for some years, especially with the arrival of India, as an observer in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, a body aimed at promoting the intensification of political, cultural, economic and military among the countries that join it. In fact, China and India have every reason to finally bury the hatchet and work together to promote the effective integration of Asian countries. Here is India to have to learn from China, which in recent years has become the bearer of an acute strategic plan based on the economic - from which, as noted, may well many other forms of collaboration - the whole Asian continent. In this context, Russia, for reasons linked to its geographical position and its resources will be called to fill the role of mediator. The first steps in this direction have already been made (trade agreements with China and pipelines, military agreements with India, and sponsoring joint exercises), but for the moment, all is silent. What is clear is that the Unicentro is disappearing on the horizon, and towards which the multipolarity the world is starting to see each individual power to pursue their own interests, not necessarily mirror and converging. In the hope that each player knows with vision and evaluate the reasonableness of reality.
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